Housing Market Watch: 20015

by Keith Gibbons

Housing Market Watch is a weekly feature on UrbanTurf in which Keith Gibbons, the brains behind DCHousingPrices.com analyzes recent MRIS statistics for a specific DC zip code to help paint a picture of the housing market in that area.

In Housing Market Watch this week, UrbanTurf takes a look at home sales statistics for the 20015 zip code.

20015 is roughly bordered by Western Avenue NW on the west; Harrison Street, Nevada Avenue, and Broad Branch Road on the south; Beach Drive and Rock Creek Park on the east; and Beach Drive on the north. Portions of neighborhoods including Friendship Heights, Barnaby Woods, and Chevy Chase DC are encompassed within those borders. It is a zip code where it is not uncommon to see deer from Rock Creek Park munching on shrubbery.

Fourteen units sold in 20015 in January and here is a chart providing a year-over-year comparison of sales volume, median price and average price:

Housing Market Watch: 20015: Figure 1
20015 Market Summary

  • Compared to January 2010, aggregate dollar volume fell 11.6 percent in 20015, but the number of units sold increased 16.67 percent. This difference can be explained by the fact that condos ruled 20015’s housing market in January, accounting for 10 of the 14 units sold; the number of condos sold in January 2011 was more than double that of January 2010.
  • In January, 20015 represented 3.67 percent of unit sales in DC, and in comparison to the rest of the city, the average median price was 19.2 percent higher.
  • Since 2007, with the exception of January 2008, about 14 homes have sold each January in 20015. However, 20015’s overall market activity in January 2011 [contracts closed, homes under contract, homes with contingent contracts] was at its highest level since January 2007.
  • A few other interesting takeaways: 1) No property sold for over $1 million and 2) Eight of the ten condos sold for between $300,000 and $499,000

The difference in the types of homes that sold this past January versus January 2010 explain many of the metrics (lower dollar volume, lower average sales price, lower median price) for January 2011. About two-thirds of sales in January 2010 were single-family homes while lower priced condos represented 71 percent of units sold in January 2011. If new listings are any indication, that trend is about to change. Of the 33 listings that came on the market in January, 22 were single-family homes and of those, ten were listed for between $1 million and $2.49 million.

At January’s sales pace, there is slightly more than a month’s supply of condos and a 5.5-months supply of single-family homes listed in 20015, making it what some would call a seller’s market. To reinforce that point, MRIS records that the sales in January were at 99.94 percent of list price, so homes were selling at (or just slightly below) the asking price.

Based on January data, 20015 is a zip code where homes are selling at list and inventory is tight. For those who want to purchase a home in this area, be prepared to move fast and to offer full price (or more).

Below are charts that provide more detailed statistics of the market in 20015.

Housing Market Watch: 20015: Figure 2
Average Price

Housing Market Watch: 20015: Figure 3
Unit Sales Volume

Housing Market Watch: 20015: Figure 4
Dollar Volume

Next Week: We head out to Northern Virginia for a report on the 22314 zip code.

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This article originally published at https://dc.urbanturf.com/articles/blog/housing_market_watch_20015/3108

1 Comment

  1. JTS said at 7:02 pm on Monday March 7, 2011:
    Great analysis as usual. That is single-family home territory up there, so it is peculiar that so many sales in January were condos.

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