A view from an apartment at Arris in Capitol Riverfront.
The last time UrbanTurf examined the state of the Class A rental market in the DC region, absorption had dropped for the first time in seven consecutive quarters, seemingly following the predicted trend of a slow-down in area demand.
Now, the most recent report from Delta Associates shows that absorption has rebounded — but that where the District is concerned, the market could still be headed down a path that leads to higher vacancies and lower rents for new apartment product.
In the region, the pace of absorption has withstood the large number of new projects that have delivered and are leasing up. Specifically, absorption of Class A apartments in the DC area is still well above the 10-year average, with 10,381 units absorbed year-over-year through March 2017. However, in DC proper, two sub-markets seem to epitomize the Class A rental market dynamics.
“While rent growth will likely be muted and vacancy may rise on average across the District due to increased supply over the next couple of years, there are just two submarkets which are mainly driving these dynamics – the Capitol Hill/Riverfront/Southwest and NoMa/H Street submarkets,” explains William Rich, president of Delta Associates. “Over 70% of the projected oncoming supply will be located in these two rapidly growing submarkets. Nevertheless, the impact is District-wide – stabilized vacancy is up over the year in all submarkets and rents declined in all but two of them.”
Rich pointed out that annual absorption fell by more than 50 percent from 2016 in the NoMa/H Street sub-market, but increased by nearly 70 percent in Capitol Hill/Riverfront/SW. “About 40 percent of absorption in the District over the past 12 months came from the Capitol Hill/Riverfront/SW submarket.”
Here is a quick snapshot of average rents for high-rise Class A apartments in DC area sub-markets, as defined by Delta:
Note: The rents are an average of studios, one and two-bedroom rental rates at new buildings in the DC area.
Class A apartments are typically large buildings built after 1991, with full amenity packages. Class B buildings are generally older buildings that have been renovated and/or have more limited amenity packages.
This article originally published at https://dc.urbanturf.com/articles/blog/a_decline_in_class_a_apartment_rents_on_the_horizon/12438.
Most Popular... This Week • Last 30 Days • Ever
This Week's Best New Listings includes a Shaw condo with soaring ceilings, a Wesley H... read »
Dupont Circle’s Swann House, a former 15-bedroom bed and breakfast, will be listed ... read »
A recent build in Anacostia made history as the first code-compliant bamboo building ... read »
There are two new proposals to redevelop the center at 14th and U Streets NW that are... read »
The recently-filed amendment would help move redevelopment of a police and fire stati... read »
UrbanTurf has compiled virtual looks at large new developments around the DC region.... read »
Why condo fees are high in some buildings and low in others can be a difficult questi... read »
Post Brothers has plans in the works to convert the Universal buildings into a sprawl... read »
The two-building project will include approximately 825 residential units, 151 lodgin... read »
The M Street building was built in the early 1980s.... read »
With this weekend's DC houseboat tour a day away, UrbanTurf thought it only fitting t... read »
President Obama travels to Denver this morning to sign the stimulus bill that has bee... read »
In this week's installment of Ask An Agent, a reader wonders if there is a rule for h... read »
As The Wharf prepares to begin construction, DC's houseboat community heads to its ne... read »
In this week's installment of Ask An Agent, a reader asks a fairly common question th... read »
DC Real Estate Guides
Short guides to navigating the DC-area real estate market
We've collected all our helpful guides for buying, selling and renting in and around Washington, DC in one place. Visit guides.urbanturf.com or start browsing below!
Intro guides for first-time home buyers
Awesome and unusual real estate from across the DC Metro