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How the Class A Apartment Market Has Recovered in the DC Region

by Nena Perry-Brown

A new apartment project on the boards in NoMa. 

All signs point to a luxury apartment market in the DC area that has fully recovered from the pandemic.

Class A apartment rents in the region are now higher than before the pandemic started, according to a new report from Delta Associates on the third quarter market. This rebound is largely due to the record-high apartment absorption observed over the past year, to the tune of 16,367 units in the area. Rent recovery has been somewhat uneven, however. 

Rent recovery levels since March 2020, by neighborhood-level submarket. Click to enlarge.

The Suburban Maryland submarket has average rents that are 104% of what they were in March 2020. Similarly, annual absorption increased by 159% year-over-year, compared to a 76% increase seen in Northern Virginia. Average rents in Northern Virginia during the third quarter were 102% of what they were in March 2020.

In DC, however, rents are still below (96.6%) what they were in early 2020. This is despite the fact that annual absorption citywide increased by 201% year-over-year, hitting a record high of more than 7,000 units absorbed. 

Projected 36-month supply and demand. Click to enlarge.

The Capitol Hill/Capitol Riverfront/Southwest submarket led the metro area in absorption, with 3,690 units leased in the past year. Meanwhile, the NoMa/H Street submarket led the region in apartments delivered, with 2,027 units entering the market since late 2020. Both of these areas account for two-thirds of the city's 15,000-unit 36-month pipeline.

As for the region overall, there are 37,100 apartments in the 36-month pipeline, 4,500 fewer than were in the works a year ago. Nearly 15,000 units are slated to deliver over the next 12 months, 33% more than delivered in the year prior.

Here is a quick snapshot of average rents for high-rise Class A apartments in DC area sub-markets, as defined by Delta:

  • Alexandria: $2,154 per month
  • Bethesda: $2,762 per month
  • Capitol Hill/Capitol Riverfront: $2,516 per month
  • Central (Penn Quarter, Logan Circle, Dupont Circle, etc.): $2,938 per month
  • Columbia Heights/Shaw: $2,577 per month
  • Crystal City/Pentagon City: $2,450 per month 
  • Hyattsville/College Park: $1,967 per month
  • NoMa/H Street: $2,353 per month
  • Northeast: $2,161 per month
  • Rosslyn-Ballston Corridor: $2,598 per month
  • Silver Spring/Wheaton: $2,039 per month
  • Upper Northwest: $2,942 per month

Note: The rents are an average of studios, one and two-bedroom rental rates at Class A high-rise buildings in the DC area.

Definitions:

Class A apartments are typically large buildings built after 1991, with full amenity packages. Class B buildings are generally older buildings that have been renovated and/or have more limited amenity packages.

See other articles related to: pipeline, delta associates, class a apartments, absorption rate

This article originally published at http://dc.urbanturf.com/articles/blog/how-class-a-apartment-market-has-recovered-in-the-dc-area/18869

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